Performance so far


Since the start of 2012 I have:


Gained 2.94% (excluding dividends and costs) of my investment - and the market is up 26.30% according to Google Finance

Been rated in the 65th percentile of all listed Trustnet.com OEIC managers (including dividends and costs - assuming that the market-average 1.6% per annum TER is charged across the board)

Achieved an average yield of 1.44% (averaged over the last twelve months) - compared to a market average of 2.8% (according to Digital Look).

Invested in a way that should deliver a pension around 48% of the value of my current income, based on current annuities and growth rates

Sunday 11 August 2013

Cyclically Adjusted Price / Earnings - or the Schiller PE

A quick post tonight on something I am really into - Mebane Faber is a great source for this - is the Cyclically Adjusted Price / Earnings ratio.

Have a look at the paper here for more details on this approach - which values overall markets relative to their historic performance.

Barry Ritholtz has been kind enought to report this quarter's data on his page - the key table being here:


This should be read alongside the paper above, which will put the numbers in context - not all markets have the same average, so it's not a straight comparison.

Now where can I find a Greek market ETF.......

Tuesday 6 August 2013

Down to Mexico

With Gold Resources Corporation, a seriously out of favour gold mining stock that is listed on the New York Stock Exchange and operates in Mexico.

Why / how did I find this one?  Well, I started tracking it a few months ago having spotted it has a strong dividend orientation (particularly for a gold miner).  If it can maintain its current 3c a month payout that puts it on a 5% yield (pretty impressive for a gold miner, which actually produces a lot of silver - about 100 times as much by weight according to the quarterly release on 8th May).

Year to date it has lost 54% of it's value and cut its dividend in half - but it has a reputation to maintain as a monthly dividend payer so it's likely management will be doing all they can to keep the dividends flowing.

It owns six properties in the Oaxaca state in Mexico, of which five are exploratory and one is operating as a mine.  A key metric for gold miners (especially with the recent drop in the price of gold) is the cost to produce each ounce.  In Gold Resource Corporation's case the total AuEq cost (gold equivalent cost - Au is the atomic symbol) was reported as $515 in May.  Compare that to today's spot price for gold, $1,287.80.  What was also interesting in the May release was that the company has paid down all its debt.

So, to go over that again:
  1. The company has no debt
  2. It produces gold at less than 40% of the market price
  3. It has paid a dividend every month for the last 36
  4. It's yielding 5%
  5. Its share price is down 54% this year
A pretty compelling selection if you ask me.